Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.217531 0.251677 0.289395 0.334150 0.385809 0.443578 0.513100
2025-09-28 0.163104 0.208764 0.264425 0.337269 0.430130 0.544626 0.696680
2025-10-05 0.139305 0.191269 0.259099 0.354125 0.483909 0.655152 0.898661
2025-10-12 0.121483 0.176634 0.252757 0.365497 0.528379 0.755502 1.096999
2025-10-19 0.107491 0.164247 0.246464 0.374237 0.568053 0.851550 1.298906
2025-10-26 0.095169 0.152029 0.238038 0.377593 0.598711 0.936283 1.492498
2025-11-02 0.083489 0.138901 0.226098 0.373267 0.615921 1.001131 1.661403
2025-11-09 0.072294 0.124892 0.210749 0.361047 0.618174 1.041406 1.793886
2025-11-16 0.066638 0.119245 0.208106 0.369062 0.654080 1.139347 2.032118
2025-11-23 0.060809 0.112488 0.202645 0.371294 0.679803 1.222078 2.252415
2025-11-30 0.056315 0.107507 0.199588 0.377176 0.712202 1.319143 2.508125
2025-12-07 0.050556 0.099461 0.190035 0.369885 0.719314 1.370866 2.685030
2025-12-14 0.045909 0.093071 0.183002 0.366852 0.734695 1.440601 2.906464
2025-12-21 0.042526 0.088771 0.179490 0.370281 0.763077 1.538265 3.194254
2025-12-28 0.041120 0.088278 0.183343 0.388784 0.823502 1.704772 3.639266
2026-01-04 0.039196 0.086457 0.184267 0.401266 0.872758 1.853667 4.064138
2026-01-11 0.037161 0.084145 0.183885 0.410859 0.916816 1.996136 4.490899
2026-01-18 0.034797 0.080823 0.180966 0.414543 0.948308 2.114951 4.878753
2026-01-25 0.031991 0.076165 0.174610 0.409794 0.960362 2.192486 5.182094
2026-02-01 0.028832 0.070317 0.164954 0.396381 0.951040 2.221193 5.375741
2026-02-08 0.027519 0.068701 0.164799 0.405179 0.994584 2.374737 5.880833
2026-02-15 0.025893 0.066134 0.162132 0.407630 1.023124 2.496065 6.321312
2026-02-22 0.024644 0.064356 0.161155 0.414085 1.062103 2.646071 6.848951